Wednesday, December 17, 2008
Tuesday, December 9, 2008
Update
Snow!!
Andrew
Wednesday, November 19, 2008
Quick Post
It was nice day today!! I predicted 65 at KCI,and it hit 65 at KCI!! Can I do tomorrow? I'm forecasting a high around 38. I am continuing to research this years LRC. I believe it is around 46 days give or take a few. As soon as I see evidence that it is cycling, I will know for sure.
Have a Great night!
Andrew
Friday, November 14, 2008
Rollercoaster Ride continues!
The COLD Blast is here!! And tomorrow you will feel the brunt of winter with NW 15-25mph, Wind Chills between 20-25 degrees, and Highs only around 38. But look at the GFS forecast for Sunday Afternoon:
A Warm Front approaches the area, and with West, down sloping winds we will see a BIG warm up. Highs Sunday could be around 60!! When air comes down the rocky mountains, it compresses and warms up in the plains this is as said above down sloping. Then we go down a hill again for Monday (see 7 Day Forecast) This years weather pattern continues to setup and I believe that it is around a 45 day cycle (give or take a few).
Have a Great Weekend!
Andrew
Wednesday, November 12, 2008
A Roller Coaster Ride, Are you ready? & 7 day updated
The 7 day forecast is updated! I have been busy tonight getting the forecasts ready plus looking at the weather pattern. I will be doing a Winter Forecast in a few weeks as I study the weather pattern. I think the pattern might be between 45-48 day cycle, but I'm researching it still. Look at the graphic describing Friday's cold front:
As you can see we are expecting some rain. right now it appears totals will be around .25" to .50" locally there could be pockets of 1" as of looking at the models right now. Things will/are changing.
Then the chance of flurries appears very slim right now for Friday night into Saturday. It will be cold Saturday with Highs only in the upper 30s, and winds will be howling from the NW at around 15-25mph. Wind Chills could be anywhere around 10 degrees to 24 degrees. On Sunday we could get up to almost 60 degrees, before another cold front comes through.
So get ready for a Roller Coaster ride!
I expect lows to be around 35 degrees with St. Joseph maybe getting around 30 degrees.
Have a great Night for those of you who are still up,
Andrew
Winter Forecast?
I'll be slowly updating the website, and this blog thru the next few weeks. I'll will also be getting the Weather Cast Plus Winter Forecast 2009 done. I am studying the weather pattern, and will have it the forecast very soon.
Friday we could see some flurries or snow showers as a strong cold front comes thru, and little disturbance heads our way. As of now no Accumulation is expected.
Have a Great Day,
Andrew
Wednesday, November 5, 2008
Severe Weather
Been awhile. Here's a look at the Severe Thunderstorm Watch that the SPC has issued until Midnight (12am).
The KC Metro is not included yet, but a line of T-storms is developing along the cold front, and we do have Slight Risk for Severe Weather. For LIVE Storm Tracker radar HD go to http://liveradar.zxq.net/ . I will be trying to update as much as possible tonight. And talk about are 1st chance of Snow showing up.
Andrew
Friday, September 26, 2008
Weather Cast PLUS Video Updated!
The Weather Cast PLUS video is now updated! This weekend will be nice with Highs between 80 & 85 degrees. For the race at the Kansas Speedway on Sunday the forecast looks to be Mostly Sunny with the track being dry, not humid or hot. Just right! and High around 84 degrees. I hope to update the blog tomorrow!
Have a great weekend,
Andrew
Thursday, August 28, 2008
Severe T-Storm Watch
A Severe T-Storm Watch is in effect until 11pm tonight! Damaging Winds, Large Hail, and Heavy Rain (Flash Flooding) are the main threats. NEW to this blog is the Severe Weather Alerts and live radar! Just scroll down all the way down to the bottom if this page. We continue to update stuff before updating the website!
Be Safe!
Andrew
Thursday, August 14, 2008
Long Time since last updated
Good Evening,
It has been Long time since the website,and blog has been updated! I hope to start updating it again sometime NEXT WEEK!!! Weather Wise, Rain chances are not looking good,and we are actually having a dry August instead of talking about the possibility of Flash Flooding,and Flooding. We are still ahead for the year, precipitation wise,but the lawns do need to have a drink.
Have a GREAT Night! Go USA at Beijing!
Andrew
Wednesday, July 2, 2008
More Rain. and Dangerous Flash Flooding
Check out the radar form around 9:45pm,and the Radar Estimates from around 9:45pm
Water Rescues have been going on all night. The last line that is developing along the Cold Front will move through the entire metro by Midnight. A Quarter of an inch to a Half an inch plus could fall with this last line. Remember: Turn Around;Don't Drown!
Andrew
Severe Thunderstorms
Saturday, June 28, 2008
Friday, June 27, 2008
Monday, June 2, 2008
Severe T-Storms
Good Morning,
A Severe T-Storm is in effect until 2pm. Severe ThunderStorms with Golfball to Softball size hail has been reported in Mahatten,KS. For the latest radar image go to http://liveradar.zxq.net/ These T-Storms should be in KC between 11:30 and 1pm. Get ready to take shelter, just in case these storms continue to drop softball sixe hail!!
Andrew
Saturday, May 17, 2008
Monday, May 12, 2008
Storm Chasing Tomorrow
Friday, May 2, 2008
More T-Storm Warnings
WUUS53 KEAX 020644
SVREAX
MOC037-047-095-165-020715-
/O.NEW.KEAX.SV.W.0071.080502T0641Z-080502T0715Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
141 AM CDT FRI MAY 2 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CASS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
CLAY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
JACKSON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
SOUTHERN PLATTE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
* UNTIL 215 AM CDT
* AT 136 AM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE
SQUALL WITH NUMEROUS REPORTS OF WINDS UP TO 75 MPH FROM TONGANOXIE
TO OLATHE. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED WIDESPREAD
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS UP TO 75 MPH STILL LIKELY AS THIS SQUALL LINE
HEADS TOWARD THE KANSAS CITY METROPOLITAN AREA. AT 135 AM...THESE
STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BASEHOR TO
BONNER SPRINGS TO LENEXA TO FONTANA...AND RACING NORTHEAST AT 60
MPH. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. PERSONS TRAVELING
ALONG INTERSTATE 70 IN AND WEST OF THE KANSAS CITY AREA SHOULD
SEEK SAFETY IMMEDIATELY.
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
KANSAS CITY...PARKVILLE...AND GRANDVIEW BY 150 AM CDT.
RIVERSIDE...RAYTOWN...RAYMORE AND PLATTE WOODS BY 155 AM CDT.
SUGAR CREEK...COURTNEY...PLEASANT VALLEY AND LEE'S SUMMIT BY 200 AM
CDT.
SMITHVILLE AND LIBERTY BY 205 AM CDT.
THE TOWNS OF STILLINGS...FARLEY...EAST LEAVENWORTH...WEST LINE...
MAYWOOD...OAKS...KANSAS CITY INTL AIRPORT...OAKWOOD PARK...OAKWOOD
AND UNITY VILLAGE ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION WITH WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE
POSSIBLE. MOBILE HOMES AND HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ARE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE AND MAY BE OVERTURNED. MOVE
IMMEDIATELY TO A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CDT FRIDAY MORNING FOR
NORTHEASTERN KANSAS AND NORTHERN MISSOURI.
LAT...LON 3934 9424 3931 9422 3921 9422 3922 9419
3919 9419 3915 9411 3859 9415 3847 9462
3902 9462 3914 9459 3922 9478 3935 9492
3946 9446
TIME...MOT...LOC 0641Z 242DEG 50KT 3921 9494 3911 9482
3895 9465 3850 9473
$$
BOOKBINDER
Powerful Winds
JOHNSON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
LEAVENWORTH COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS
MIAMI COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
WYANDOTTE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS
SOUTHERN PLATTE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
A SEVERE SQUALL LINE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS UP TO 80 MPH. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
SITUATION...WITH WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE POSSIBLE.
THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 20 MILES
WEST OF TONGANOXIE TO 10 MILES WEST OF EDGERTON TO 10 MILES WEST
OF PARKER...AND RACING EAST AT 60 MPH.
Damage
Update: 1am
The NWS has extended the Tornado Watch until 8am. The final roudn is coming through, and the Tornado Threat is still minimal.
More updates,
Andrew
Thursday, May 1, 2008
Update: 9:48pm
The latest above, storms will continue through the night, the tornado threat is there, but has dimished a bit.
Updates to Come, Remember for Live Storm Tracker Radar go to http://liveradar.zxq.net/
Andrew
Update: 8:30pm
What a Crazy Night! Tornado Warning in Olathe, which have been allowed to expire. Tornado Threat is still there, but no more warnings so far. More T-Storms are developing west of Topeka, that will be the main Even for later tonight.
More updates to come!
Andrew
T-Storms Developing
Moderate RISK for Severe Weather
Look below at the Surface Map from 12:43pm:
A Cold Front, Dry line, and the High dew points, and Temperatures in the 80s are all coming together for a possible Severe Weather Outbreak. Here is the Visible sat. Pic:
We have to watch the area of clearing, the cap is slowly eroding,and as soon it has eroded enough; Strong to Severe T-Storms will develop. Right now the main threats are Large Hail, and Damaging Winds. But, Tornadoes are also an Isolated threat,the 1st T-Storms to develop will have the potential for tornadoes before forming into a Squall Line. Here is the latest SPC Day 1 Outlook:
We will be watching this, and you can too! With LIVE Storm Tracker Doppler, just click the link to the right. I'll have an update around 4pm or so!
Andrew
Friday, April 25, 2008
Cold Front moving through
As you can see the cold front is moving through, as of now there are a few T-Storms popping up. I think we might have a little shower or T-Storm, then temps start falling through out the afternoon.
Andrew
Tuesday, April 22, 2008
Last Update
One last update, as you can see the rain has shifted to the east, but alot Lightning still remains. So, be careful.click to enlarge
Look at the surface map from 3:07am, the cold front is moving through, so this is the last round of T-Storms.
Good Night, more on this, and our next chance of Rain later this afternoon.
Andrew
Radar Update: 2:10am
Radar Update
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EASTERN WYANDOTTE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS
SOUTHERN CLAY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
NORTHWESTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
SOUTHEASTERN PLATTE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
* UNTIL 130 AM CDT
Here is the radar from around 1am. Look at the Hail Core!! Large Hail, and Damaging Winds are possible with this storm.
Monday, April 21, 2008
Slow Moving front, and any T-storms?
Look at the surface map and you can the cold front slowly moving our way:
This is not much of a cold front, as it will not drop our temperatures significantly.
Here is a look at Storm Tracker at around 9:30pm:
The only cell is a big one entering into Kansas, with Quarter size hail,and 60mph winds. I'll be tracking this, and watching the radar for any more development.
Updates will be as/if necessary.
Andrew
T-Storm Watch
Friday, April 18, 2008
Showers on a Friday Night
Thursday, April 17, 2008
Showers and T-Storms Continue
Wednesday, April 16, 2008
2 Day's in a Row! How much rain?
The new GFS has came out, and it says 1.00"-1.25" of Rain Thursday through Friday. I'm going with 1.25" of Rain. Below is a radar image from our new Storm Tracker Doppler Radar at 11:30pm. Rain is already developing in Central Kansas. With Storm Tracker, and First Alert Doppler, we will be able to give you the latest Severe Weather info!! Speaking of Severe Weather, there is only a slight chance tomorrow. The Storm Prediction Center hasn't even put us under a Slight Risk for right now. click to enlarge
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
We did it again! It hit our forecasted high of 75F degrees today!! Now the question is how much rain do we get Thursday and part of Friday? Below is the latest NAM data,it shows between .50"-1". I'll have my forecast after the GFS comes out.
We also have a stalled front, as you can see below. This front will play a role in determining how much rain we will get, and how warm we will get. Will it be in the 50s, or get into the low to mid 60s? I'm updating the 5 day right now and will have on the web soon!
click to enlarge
Update later, after the 00z GFS comes out!
Andrew
Tuesday, April 15, 2008
Another Stormy Thursday...
The new GFS has around 1" to 1.75". Right now I will wait until tomorrow before forecasting rainfall amounts.
Good Evening bloggers,
Take a look at the Almanac for today:
As you can see, we got it right on the nose!! Can we do it again tomorrow? Tomorrow could be anywhere between 70-80 degrees! The 80 degrees depends on when the clouds move in. Right now it appears the clouds will come in around 3pm. Then our attention turns to the storm on Thursday. A Cold front will be coming through, and behind this front, we will see some Thunder Storms. How much rain will fall? Some of the computer models say around 0.10 -.19". I update the rest of this after the 00z GFS comes out.
Andrew
Sunday, April 13, 2008
Freezing Tonight!
Good Sunday Evening bloggers,
We are setting up for a Moderate Freeze tonight with temps around 25F. Here is some plant care info from www.hamonslandscaping.com:
"Landscapes in Kansas City will soon be hitting the deep freeze. Well, maybe not the deep freeze. However even with temperatures reaching down into upper 20�s � it is important to have all the information necessary.
First of all this is not at all like the freeze of 2007 � although the dates are not that different. The difference lies in the weather of March. In 2007, Kansas City�s weather was unseasonably warm. Plants were a good 3 - 4 weeks ahead of normal development. Last year I already had Iris blooms poking up in my yard. This year, I barely have leaves coming through last falls leaves. Freezing temperatures this weekend will only be a slight problem for landscapers and homeowners in Kansas City.
Different plants will need different amounts of care this weekend.
Perennials
Most perennials will be fine as long as the temperature stays above 20 degrees. However, if you are the type of person who like to err on the side of caution then covering the plants with a bed sheet. If you use plastic then you must make sure to support the plastic off the leaves or blooms and leaves will still be damaged.
Trees
There is no practical way to protect a tree from the effects of the freezing air. All those pretty magnolias that bloomed this week will be turned to mush if the temperature gets below freezing. However, no permanent damage will be done. This is a common problem with most magnolia trees in our area. Sweetbay Magnolias are on tree that rarely has problems because of it late blooming.
Shrubs
If you have any shrubs that are blooming or who have tender new growth then they should be covered with a sheet to protect the new tender foliage. If you do nothing then you will likely see some dieback of the new foliage - but no lasting damage. If you have shrubs that almost ready to bloom, you may lose this year�s blooms if they are not protected.
Vegetables
If you got an early start on some of your vegetable you will need to protect them unless they are spinach or lettuce. Construct a sturdy frame over the rows and then lay a sheet over each row. Secure the sheet to the ground to prevent wind from moving or disturbing the sheet.
With a little extra care you will can make sure that this upcoming freeze will not delay the beauty of the your landscape."
More Tomorrow,
Andrew
Thursday, April 10, 2008
Last Line
Update: 2:45pm T-Storm Watch
Adair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke, Dallas, Davis, Decatur
Fremont, Guthrie, Harrison, Jasper, Lucas, Madison, Mahaska, Marion
Mills, Monroe, Montgomery, Page, Polk, Pottawattamie, Poweshiek, Ringgold
Shelby, Taylor, Union, Wapello, Warren, Wayne
Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Cherokee, Coffey, Crawford, Doniphan
Douglas, Franklin, Jackson, Jefferson, Johnson, Leavenworth, Linn, Miami
Nemaha, Osage, Shawnee, Wyandotte
Adair, Andrew, Atchison, Barton, Bates, Benton, Buchanan, Caldwell, Camden
Carroll, Cass, Cedar, Chariton, Clay, Clinton, Cooper, Dade, Dallas
Daviess, DeKalb, Gentry, Greene, Grundy, Harrison, Henry, Hickory, Holt
Howard, Jackson, Jasper, Johnson, Laclede, Lafayette, Lawrence, Linn
Livingston, Macon, Mercer, Miller, Morgan, Nodaway, Pettis, Platte, Polk
Pulaski, Putnam, Randolph, Ray, St. Clair, Saline, Schuyler, Sullivan
Texas, Vernon, Webster, Worth, Wright
Cass, Douglas, Johnson, Nemaha, Otoe, Pawnee, Richardson, Sarpy, Washington
PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES : 20%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /F2-F5/ TORNADOES : 05%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS : 30%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS : 30%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS : 60%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES : 20%
PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS : 80%
Update: 2:45pm T-Storm Watch
Adair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke, Dallas, Davis, Decatur
Fremont, Guthrie, Harrison, Jasper, Lucas, Madison, Mahaska, Marion
Mills, Monroe, Montgomery, Page, Polk, Pottawattamie, Poweshiek, Ringgold
Shelby, Taylor, Union, Wapello, Warren, Wayne
Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Cherokee, Coffey, Crawford, Doniphan
Douglas, Franklin, Jackson, Jefferson, Johnson, Leavenworth, Linn, Miami
Nemaha, Osage, Shawnee, Wyandotte
Adair, Andrew, Atchison, Barton, Bates, Benton, Buchanan, Caldwell, Camden
Carroll, Cass, Cedar, Chariton, Clay, Clinton, Cooper, Dade, Dallas
Daviess, DeKalb, Gentry, Greene, Grundy, Harrison, Henry, Hickory, Holt
Howard, Jackson, Jasper, Johnson, Laclede, Lafayette, Lawrence, Linn
Livingston, Macon, Mercer, Miller, Morgan, Nodaway, Pettis, Platte, Polk
Pulaski, Putnam, Randolph, Ray, St. Clair, Saline, Schuyler, Sullivan
Texas, Vernon, Webster, Worth, Wright
Cass, Douglas, Johnson, Nemaha, Otoe, Pawnee, Richardson, Sarpy, Washington
PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES : 20%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /F2-F5/ TORNADOES : 05%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS : 30%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS : 30%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS : 60%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES : 20%
PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS : 80%
Thursday 11:37am Update
Look at the latest Surface, and Visible Satellite Picture:
click to enlarge
click to enlarge
A powerful storm system is developing, right now we have only a Slight Risk for Severe Weather. I still think we could get up to 70 degrees as the Sun is trying to come out. In fact as I write this the sun is peeking in, and out here in Olathe. we could see re-development as we go into the afternoon. Large Hail will be the biggest threat;if any T-Storms develop. The Warm Front is almost here, as you can see on the maps above. I'll have more updates to come!
Andrew
Wednesday, March 26, 2008
Chance of Rain
Monday, March 10, 2008
Severe Weather Awareness Week
Sunday, March 2, 2008
Wednesday, February 6, 2008
Grading Time, and Tornado Photos
Tuesday, February 5, 2008
Updated: 11:15pm
Below is the latest snowfall Forecast, things have shifted again!! The 6"-12"+ appears to be likely up north now. The KC Metro will about 2"-6" with more north and west of KC. If there is any Thunder-Snow then that will increase the amounts in isolated areas.
click to enlarge
Also, here is the Central Plains Loop (click to enlarge, then loop), can you find the Upper Level Low? The Snow is developing across Kansas with the heaviest,again,being north and west of KC. The Severe T-Storms which have cause major devastation in Arkansas, Tennessee continue to move east along the Cold Front. I'll try to get pictures tomorrow from those areas. Speaking of Pictures, send in your snow photos to: stafandt@earthlink.net.
More updates will come if needed,
Andrew