Tuesday, April 24, 2007

Severe Wx Threat

Good Morning,

It looks like the tornado threat will be to the southwest of us. We are still in a MODERATE RISK for Severe Wx, the main threats are Large Hail and Damaging Winds. Below is the Latest Public Severe Weather Outlook from the SPC.


Public Severe Weather Outlook
   ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL
WOUS40 KWNS 240935
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-241730-

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0435 AM CDT TUE APR 24 2007

...AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES AND DESTRUCTIVE HAIL OVER
PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

FAR WESTERN ARKANSAS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
FAR WESTERN MISSOURI
CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS

SURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO LOWER OHIO VALLEY
AND SOUTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN TEXAS.

A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL PROGRESS EAST INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH AN ASSOCIATED STRONG...UPPER LEVEL JET
DEVELOPING EAST THROUGH TEXAS...OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS. AS THIS
OCCURS...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER FAR SOUTHEAST COLORADO
WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EAST INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...AND
INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED DRYLINE
WILL STEADILY MOVE EAST TODAY FROM THE HIGH PLAINS...REACHING THE
INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO NORTHWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS...
CONTRIBUTING TO AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS AHEAD OF THE
DRYLINE.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INITIALLY DEVELOP LATER THIS
MORNING INTO AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW OVER WESTERN INTO
CENTRAL KANSAS WITH ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT SOUTH ALONG THE
DRYLINE THROUGH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS LATER THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. GIVEN THE STRENGTHENING VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND DEGREE OF INSTABILITY...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL AND TORNADOES...SOME
OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG.

TONIGHT...THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING
TORNADOES IS FORECAST TO SPREAD EAST THROUGH EASTERN PARTS OF
KANSAS...OKLAHOMA...AND TEXAS...EVENTUALLY IMPACTING LOCATIONS IN
WESTERN PARTS OF MISSOURI AND ARKANSAS.

THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER
SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER
RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.

..MEAD.. 04/24/2007

$$

No comments:

Post a Comment