Tornado Warning

A Tornado Warning has been issued for Sw Johnson Couty in kS and Miami, KS. Stormlab image on right shows the warnings. Click to enlarge

There is Tornado Warning for Franklin County now. The Johnson one has now expired. I am Updating the pic to the right, so refresh the page for latest image.
**UPDATE 6:02pm** There is now a Tornado Warning for Linn County until 6:15pm the others have expired.

**UPDATE 6:45pm**

All warning have now expired and have moved out of our viewing area.

A Tornado Warning for Cass, MO

A Tornado Warning is in effect for Cass until 4:45pm. Funnel Clouds have been seen, Peculier 5pm. I'm trying to get a Storm Lab image up.

**UPDATE 6:30pm**

The Tornado Warning has been canceled for a while!! A Flash Flood Warning is in effect for almost all the counties around KC. The green boxes on StormLab are the flood warnings. Click to enlarge.

A watch Likely

Good Afternoon,

The SPC says a watch is likely south of here, Linn County and South. I am keeping an eye on the radar.

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0584
 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
 1230 PM CDT WED APR 25 2007

 AREAS AFFECTED...SERN KS...NERN OK...SWRN MO...NWRN AR

 CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON

 VALID 251730Z - 251830Z

 ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS HAVE BECOME FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS AND
 A WATCH ISSUANCE WILL BE COORDINATED BETWEEN THE SPC AND THE
 AFFECTED LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES SHORTLY.

 BOUNDARY LAYER IS WARMING RAPIDLY AHEAD OF UPPER LOW WITHIN THE WARM
 SECTOR ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION OF KS/MO/OK/AR.  THUNDERSTORMS
 WILL SOON INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE/INTENSITY.  LARGE HAIL APPEARS
 TO BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE RISK.

 ..DARROW.. 04/25/2007


 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...

 37869630 38219530 38089293 36659256 35909421 36499637 

Tornado Watches for KC

Good early evening,

There are Tornado Watches for the whole area. Look at the map (clik to enlarge) to the RGHT and you can see the watches and where I think the Greatest Threat of Severe Wx will be. Up north by the Warm Front and West and South West by the dryline. I'll try to have a Weather Cast Severe Weather updated, but keep watching the website for the Latest and the blog.
**UPDATE 8:45pm**
The Tornado Watches have been able to be canceled! I am still watching the line west of Manhatten,KS which could bring some gusty winds, but the Tornado Threat is over.

Tornado Watches for KC

Good early evening,

There are Tornado Watches for the whole area. Look at the map to the RGHT and you can see the watches and where I think the Greatest Threat of Severe Wx will be. Up north by the Warm Front and West and South West by the dryline. I'll try to have a Weather Cast Severe Weather updated, but keep watching the website for the Latesta and the blog.

Severe Wx Threat

Good Morning,

It looks like the tornado threat will be to the southwest of us. We are still in a MODERATE RISK for Severe Wx, the main threats are Large Hail and Damaging Winds. Below is the Latest Public Severe Weather Outlook from the SPC.

Public Severe Weather Outlook

ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL WOUS40 KWNS 240935 ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-241730- PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0435 AM CDT TUE APR 24 2007 ...AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT... THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES AND DESTRUCTIVE HAIL OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE FAR WESTERN ARKANSAS CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS FAR WESTERN MISSOURI CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS SURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO LOWER OHIO VALLEY AND SOUTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN TEXAS. A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION EARLY THIS MORNING WILL PROGRESS EAST INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH AN ASSOCIATED STRONG...UPPER LEVEL JET DEVELOPING EAST THROUGH TEXAS...OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS. AS THIS OCCURS...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER FAR SOUTHEAST COLORADO WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EAST INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...AND INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED DRYLINE WILL STEADILY MOVE EAST TODAY FROM THE HIGH PLAINS...REACHING THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO NORTHWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS... CONTRIBUTING TO AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INITIALLY DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING INTO AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW OVER WESTERN INTO CENTRAL KANSAS WITH ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT SOUTH ALONG THE DRYLINE THROUGH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. GIVEN THE STRENGTHENING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DEGREE OF INSTABILITY...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL AND TORNADOES...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG. TONIGHT...THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING TORNADOES IS FORECAST TO SPREAD EAST THROUGH EASTERN PARTS OF KANSAS...OKLAHOMA...AND TEXAS...EVENTUALLY IMPACTING LOCATIONS IN WESTERN PARTS OF MISSOURI AND ARKANSAS. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY. ..MEAD.. 04/24/2007 $$

Moderate Risk

Good Afternoon,

We are in a Moderate Risk for Severe Weather Tuesday. I hoping for some rain in the morning and the warm front to stay south. I am not completely sold on this, it is not a classic set-up. Watch the skies and Pray!! I have more tonight when the latest data is in.
**UPDATE 10:00pm**
There is a Tornado Watches across KS now including Wichita, KS, there could be some rain in the morning w/a chance of Severe Weather. Our best chance will be tomorrow evening and possibly early Wednesday. We'll have to see the overnight data before I say whether or not the Severe Wx will be there. As I said above, if it rains and stays cloudy all day, the rain would help keep temps cool. We'll just have to see tomorrow morning.

Tornado Watches

Good Afternoon,

There are Tornado Watches up North and West if us. I expect the best chance for Severe Weather to stay up North in Northern Mo, All of IW, and parts of Nebraska. I am concerned about Tuesday as it looks like we could see a Severe Wx outbreak from central KS and Eastern KS,MO ( including KC) to Texas. I'll blog later as more data comes in. Watch the skies and send any pics to me @ kcweather@tornadochaser.every1.net .

Severe Weather Outbreak in KS

Good Evening,

There is a Major Severe WX Outbreak in eastern Ks, western Co, Nebraska Etc. Our chance will be Tommorow which is very slight. Look at the Water Vapor; I have put where the upper level low is and the T-Storms. I am looking at the Latest Data and updating the planner and 5 Day.

Water Vapor Click to enlarge-

Hazardous Weather Outlook

This is from the National Weather Service...

000
FLUS43 KEAX 201759
HWOEAX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1259 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2007

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-211800-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
1259 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
ON SUNDAY. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE
STRONG. HOWEVER...THE AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND THUS DEGREE OF
INSTABILITY REMAIN IN QUESTION. IF SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY CAN
DEVELOP...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WOULD BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE THE
PRIMARY THREATS.

A SECOND STRONG STORM SYSTEM...TAKING A SIMILAR TRACK AS THIS
WEEKEND`S SYSTEM...WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY EARLY TUESDAY
AND BRING A GOOD CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY EVENING. AGAIN...THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AND TIMING OF THE
SYSTEM WILL DETERMINE THE SEVERE THREAT. AT THIS TIME THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS WELL AS ON TUESDAY.

$$

MJ

Severe Weather Sunday?

Good Afternoon,

New Data had Sunday's storm slowing down, which means we could have a slight chance for Severe Weather,it is still to early to know yet. I blog more when more info is in. Have a great day!

70s are looking good

Good Morning Everyone,

The New data still has the storm for Sunday, tomorrow we should be able to know if there will be a chance of Severe Wx still. I still think we will hit 80s on Saturday. New Data is going be coming in this afternoon. I'll blog later today when the new data comes in.

Rain staying South

Good Evening,

At the right is pic from StormLab (click to enlarge), the rain will be staying South of that Line that I drew. I'm tracking another chance of Rain Thursday, then Sunday, and again on Monday!! We are in a this wet,stormy pattern for at least a week. The chance for Severe Wx Saturday night into Sunday is slim for now. I'm watching it very carefully as things continue to change. Remember to go to Purchase StormLab Radar at a discounted price!

Rain chances slim.

Good Morning,

The Storm System going by today is going far south, which means, the rain chacne will be around 30%-40%. The farther South you go, better is the chance for rain. I next chance is slim too, Friday. Our Severe Weather Chance for Saturday and Sunday is still slim. We need to wait a few more days before talking about the Severe Wx Threat. The SPC still says in their 4-8 day outllook that we will have a chance for Severe Wx. I am updating the 5 Day as new data is coming in.

Rain?

Good Evening Everyone,

The map to the right is the GFS for Tuesday at 6pm. I painted the upper level low where it will be. There will be a cold front coming thru that barely will drop our temps. It appears that from Downtown KC and North there is only a 20% chance of rain, and Downtown KC and South a 50% chance. I have updated the 5 Day and the planner for tomorrow. I blog more later.

GFS for Tues. 6pm- click enlarge

Great Week Ahead.

Good Monday Morning,

We are lookin for 70s and maybe some 80s, but those 80s could come with a chance of Severe Weather Sunday. New Data is comin in, I am updating the 5 Day Forecast right now. Hopefully the Severe Wx chance will go away! Send any pics of the snow from the weekend to me at kcweather@tornadochaser.every1.net .

**UPDATE 9:15am**

The New Data says the Storm System for Sunday will farther North. So right now the Severe Wx threat looks low right now! :D :)

70s!

Good Evening,

70s are back in the forecast with a chance of rain Tuesday. There is a chance also on Friday and Sunday. Sunday's storms have a chance of being Severe. I'll keep track of that potential. For now just enjoy the 70s.

Snow comes and Snow goes.

Good Afternoon,

We had about 2-3" of snow in most places, But now the snow has melted :( .We now warm up and there are some more rain chances in the forecast. Our next "Big Storm" will be around May 22nd or so. I blog later when New Data comes in.

It's A MIX!

Good Evening Everyone,

Here in Olathe,KS it is Raining and Snowing with some Thunder! So, some Thunder Snow! Still expect 2"-4" of slushy snow, which will melt tomorrow as it looks like it will get into the 40s. Look at the Water Vapor Satellite, I place the upper level low as the Red "L" and the expected track of the storm. Send in your reports! I blog more later.
Water Vapor Sat. 6:15pm CST Click to enlarge

1"-3" of Snow

Good Friday Afternoon,

It appears the snow totals will be 1"-3". I am looking at new data right now and I'm updating the 5 Day. Have A Great Friday Everyone. Right now the temp is:41.7F and steady, I still think it will changeover around 5-7pm. I blog later w/more info.

Snow!

Good Afternoon,

The snow is really likely now. The 5 Day forecast in now updated!! I have more later as new data comes in.

Snow even more likely!

Good Evening,

The new data continues to show the snow chances going up. I updated the 5 Day Forecast, so don't forget to check out that. More Data is coming in, so I will blog more later.

**Update 9:45pm**

The 5 day is updated, and the data is still pushing south even more, which means the Heaviest Snow could come to KC.

Snow Chance are going up!!

Good Morning,

The Snow chances continue to get better, and better each model run. I have updated the 5 Day Forecast. To get back to the KCW website just click on view my profile and then visit my site. I have more later as new data comes in.

One more thing, How do you think we could improve the website? Put your thoughts down. Just click on comments, and then Post a Comment. Thanks!

A Snow Storm?

Good Evening Everyone,

The New data suggests that the Storm system for Friday will go south of us, reducing the Severe Weather threat and increasing the snow chances. You can the most up to date 5 day forecast on the page Weather Cast 5 Day. I have more updates Tommorrow as new data rows in.

Weather Cast is updated!

Good Afternoon,

Weather Cast is updated and ready to go, I decided to update it even with the Stormlab update not out yet. I will be updating the 5 Day Forecast later as more data comes in. It's going to be raining off and on. Stay Dry and warm. I have more later!!

Rain is almost here!

Good Morning,

The rain is almost here, just look at StormLab. I expect a good soaking out of this, maybe a rumble of thunder. NO SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED. The Storm for Friday is still looking good at a 100% Chance of rain. The Storm Prediction does not have us, right now in a Slight Risk for Severe weather Friday. As you know things do, and will change. I have more updates later don't forget to check out the 5 Day Forecast for the latest on the KC Weather.
----------------------------------------------
**UPDATE** 9:45am

Leading Edge of Rain is now 40 miles away from KC Metro!! It will get here around 11am or Noon.




-StormLab Radar 8:45am Tuesday. click to enlarge.

KC Weather Blog: Rain is almost here!

KC Weather Blog: Rain is almost here!

Kansas City Weather Wesbite

Rain!

Good Evening,

Yes, it is going to rain to tommorrow there is a 100% chance. Then there is a chance Thursday and a better chance Friday. Friday there is a chance of Severe Weather depending on the track of this storm system. Check out the 5 Day forecast for the latest forecast. There is a chance on Sunday for snow. I have more updates as the data comes in.

Snow Showers/Flurries

Good Morning,

Snow showers/flurries have been around the KC Metro Area for a while.Our storm for Tuesday Night and Wednesday doesn't look at organized as before, I still think it will still rain. Then, Friday our bigger storm comes with a chance of Severe Weather depending on the track. I will keep you updated!!