Friday, April 25, 2008

Cold Front moving through

As you can see the cold front is moving through, as of now there are a few T-Storms popping up. I think we might have a little shower or T-Storm, then temps start falling through out the afternoon.

Andrew

Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Live Radar


Thanks to David for this! click to enlarge

Last Update

One last update, as you can see the rain has shifted to the east, but alot Lightning still remains. So, be careful.click to enlarge

Look at the surface map from 3:07am, the cold front is moving through, so this is the last round of T-Storms.

 

Good Night, more on this, and our next chance of Rain later this afternoon.

Andrew

Radar Update 2:20am

 

Radar Update: 2:10am

The Big T-Storm complex in Douglas, KS is making its way towards Olathe,KS. Should be in Olathe around 2:30am. No Severe Weather Warnings as of 2:11am

Radar Update 1:52am

 

Radar update 1:38am

 

Latest Track

 

Radar Update

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN WYANDOTTE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS
  SOUTHERN CLAY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
  NORTHWESTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
  SOUTHEASTERN PLATTE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI

* UNTIL 130 AM CDT

Here is the radar from around 1am. Look at the Hail Core!! Large Hail, and Damaging Winds are possible with this storm.

 

 

RAIN

Heavy T-Storms are moving across the region right now.
 
 

Monday, April 21, 2008

Slow Moving front, and any T-storms?

Good Evening,

Look at the surface map and you can the cold front slowly moving our way:



This is not much of a cold front, as it will not drop our temperatures significantly.

Here is a look at Storm Tracker at around 9:30pm:

The only cell is a big one entering into Kansas, with Quarter size hail,and 60mph winds. I'll be tracking this, and watching the radar for any more development.

Updates will be as/if necessary.
Andrew

T-Storm Watch

A Severe T-Storm Watch for just west, and north of KC has been issued. So far nothing has developed, I keep an eye on it.!
 
Andrew
 

Friday, April 18, 2008

Showers on a Friday Night

Good Evening,
 
Take a look at the radar from 10:09pm, Light to just a little bit on the Moderate side rain showers are moving through.
This will continue through the night for a few hours, then the question is will the sun come out tomorrow. More after the New Data comes out.
Andrew
 

Thursday, April 17, 2008

Showers and T-Storms Continue

Good Afternoon,
Take a look at Storm Tracker Doppler, and you see we moderate to heavy T-Showers around KC right now, we also have new development, which is heading our way. I'll have more later. This rain is expected to continue through the overnight hours. There's a Slight chance that one or two of the T-Storms could become Severe because of 1" Hail.

More later!
Andrew

Wednesday, April 16, 2008

2 Day's in a Row! How much rain?

Update: 11:30pm

The new GFS has came out, and it says 1.00"-1.25" of Rain Thursday through Friday. I'm going with 1.25" of Rain. Below is a radar image from our new Storm Tracker Doppler Radar at 11:30pm. Rain is already developing in Central Kansas. With Storm Tracker, and First Alert Doppler, we will be able to give you the latest Severe Weather info!! Speaking of Severe Weather, there is only a slight chance tomorrow. The Storm Prediction Center hasn't even put us under a Slight Risk for right now. click to enlarge

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
We did it again! It hit our forecasted high of 75F degrees today!! Now the question is how much rain do we get Thursday and part of Friday? Below is the latest NAM data,it shows between .50"-1". I'll have my forecast after the GFS comes out.



We also have a stalled front, as you can see below. This front will play a role in determining how much rain we will get, and how warm we will get. Will it be in the 50s, or get into the low to mid 60s? I'm updating the 5 day right now and will have on the web soon!

click to enlarge
Update later, after the 00z GFS comes out!

Andrew

Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Another Stormy Thursday...

Update: 11:55pm:

The new GFS has around 1" to 1.75". Right now I will wait until tomorrow before forecasting rainfall amounts.

Good Evening bloggers,

Take a look at the Almanac for today:


As you can see, we got it right on the nose!! Can we do it again tomorrow? Tomorrow could be anywhere between 70-80 degrees! The 80 degrees depends on when the clouds move in. Right now it appears the clouds will come in around 3pm. Then our attention turns to the storm on Thursday. A Cold front will be coming through, and behind this front, we will see some Thunder Storms. How much rain will fall? Some of the computer models say around 0.10 -.19". I update the rest of this after the 00z GFS comes out.

Andrew

Sunday, April 13, 2008

Freezing Tonight!

Good Sunday Evening bloggers,

We are setting up for a Moderate Freeze tonight with temps around 25F. Here is some plant care info from www.hamonslandscaping.com:

"Landscapes in Kansas City will soon be hitting the deep freeze. Well, maybe not the deep freeze. However even with temperatures reaching down into upper 20�s � it is important to have all the information necessary.

First of all this is not at all like the freeze of 2007 � although the dates are not that different. The difference lies in the weather of March. In 2007, Kansas City�s weather was unseasonably warm. Plants were a good 3 - 4 weeks ahead of normal development. Last year I already had Iris blooms poking up in my yard. This year, I barely have leaves coming through last falls leaves. Freezing temperatures this weekend will only be a slight problem for landscapers and homeowners in Kansas City.

Different plants will need different amounts of care this weekend.

Perennials

Most perennials will be fine as long as the temperature stays above 20 degrees. However, if you are the type of person who like to err on the side of caution then covering the plants with a bed sheet. If you use plastic then you must make sure to support the plastic off the leaves or blooms and leaves will still be damaged.

Trees

There is no practical way to protect a tree from the effects of the freezing air. All those pretty magnolias that bloomed this week will be turned to mush if the temperature gets below freezing. However, no permanent damage will be done. This is a common problem with most magnolia trees in our area. Sweetbay Magnolias are on tree that rarely has problems because of it late blooming.

Shrubs

If you have any shrubs that are blooming or who have tender new growth then they should be covered with a sheet to protect the new tender foliage. If you do nothing then you will likely see some dieback of the new foliage - but no lasting damage. If you have shrubs that almost ready to bloom, you may lose this year�s blooms if they are not protected.

Vegetables

If you got an early start on some of your vegetable you will need to protect them unless they are spinach or lettuce. Construct a sturdy frame over the rows and then lay a sheet over each row. Secure the sheet to the ground to prevent wind from moving or disturbing the sheet.

With a little extra care you will can make sure that this upcoming freeze will not delay the beauty of the your landscape."

More Tomorrow,

Andrew

Thursday, April 10, 2008

Last Line

Good Evening,
 
Wow! What a day, the last line of Severe T-Storms is moving through with Hail, and Damaging Winds the main threats. We will quiet down and we could have a few snowflakes on Friday,and/or Saturday. Then a Nice Warm up is in store for Next week as we could be in the 80s! I'll have more tomorrow.
 
Andrew

Update: 2:45pm T-Storm Watch

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 191
 
Effective Until: 9:00 PM CDT
 
Iowa Counties Included Are:
Adair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke, Dallas, Davis, Decatur
Fremont, Guthrie, Harrison, Jasper, Lucas, Madison, Mahaska, Marion
Mills, Monroe, Montgomery, Page, Polk, Pottawattamie, Poweshiek, Ringgold
Shelby, Taylor, Union, Wapello, Warren, Wayne
 
Kansas Counties Included Are:
Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Cherokee, Coffey, Crawford, Doniphan
Douglas, Franklin, Jackson, Jefferson, Johnson, Leavenworth, Linn, Miami
Nemaha, Osage, Shawnee, Wyandotte
 
Missouri Counties Included Are:
Adair, Andrew, Atchison, Barton, Bates, Benton, Buchanan, Caldwell, Camden
Carroll, Cass, Cedar, Chariton, Clay, Clinton, Cooper, Dade, Dallas
Daviess, DeKalb, Gentry, Greene, Grundy, Harrison, Henry, Hickory, Holt
Howard, Jackson, Jasper, Johnson, Laclede, Lafayette, Lawrence, Linn
Livingston, Macon, Mercer, Miller, Morgan, Nodaway, Pettis, Platte, Polk
Pulaski, Putnam, Randolph, Ray, St. Clair, Saline, Schuyler, Sullivan
Texas, Vernon, Webster, Worth, Wright
 
Nebraska Counties Included Are:
Cass, Douglas, Johnson, Nemaha, Otoe, Pawnee, Richardson, Sarpy, Washington
 
PROBABILITY TABLE:
PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES                        :  20%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /F2-F5/ TORNADOES         :  05%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS              :  30%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS          :  30%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS              :  60%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES          :  20%
PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS :  80%
 
More updates to come!
Andrew
 
 
 
 

Update: 2:45pm T-Storm Watch

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 191
 
Effective Until: 9:00 PM CDT
 
Iowa Counties Included Are:
Adair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke, Dallas, Davis, Decatur
Fremont, Guthrie, Harrison, Jasper, Lucas, Madison, Mahaska, Marion
Mills, Monroe, Montgomery, Page, Polk, Pottawattamie, Poweshiek, Ringgold
Shelby, Taylor, Union, Wapello, Warren, Wayne
 
Kansas Counties Included Are:
Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Cherokee, Coffey, Crawford, Doniphan
Douglas, Franklin, Jackson, Jefferson, Johnson, Leavenworth, Linn, Miami
Nemaha, Osage, Shawnee, Wyandotte
 
Missouri Counties Included Are:
Adair, Andrew, Atchison, Barton, Bates, Benton, Buchanan, Caldwell, Camden
Carroll, Cass, Cedar, Chariton, Clay, Clinton, Cooper, Dade, Dallas
Daviess, DeKalb, Gentry, Greene, Grundy, Harrison, Henry, Hickory, Holt
Howard, Jackson, Jasper, Johnson, Laclede, Lafayette, Lawrence, Linn
Livingston, Macon, Mercer, Miller, Morgan, Nodaway, Pettis, Platte, Polk
Pulaski, Putnam, Randolph, Ray, St. Clair, Saline, Schuyler, Sullivan
Texas, Vernon, Webster, Worth, Wright
 
Nebraska Counties Included Are:
Cass, Douglas, Johnson, Nemaha, Otoe, Pawnee, Richardson, Sarpy, Washington
 
PROBABILITY TABLE:
PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES                        :  20%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /F2-F5/ TORNADOES         :  05%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS              :  30%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS          :  30%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS              :  60%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES          :  20%
PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS :  80%
 
More updates to come!
Andrew
 
 
 
 

Thursday 11:37am Update

Good Afternoon,

Look at the latest Surface, and Visible Satellite Picture:


click to enlarge

click to enlarge



A powerful storm system is developing, right now we have only a Slight Risk for Severe Weather. I still think we could get up to 70 degrees as the Sun is trying to come out. In fact as I write this the sun is peeking in, and out here in Olathe. we could see re-development as we go into the afternoon. Large Hail will be the biggest threat;if any T-Storms develop. The Warm Front is almost here, as you can see on the maps above. I'll have more updates to come!

Andrew