Friday, November 30, 2007

From the National Weather Service...

Freezing Rain Advisory
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
619 AM CST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER WEATHER EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

A POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL HEAD TOWARD THE AREA LATE
TONIGHT. WHILE THIS IS OCCURRING VERY COLD AIR WHICH HAS MOVED
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL OOZE SOUTHWARD TODAY AND REMAIN IN
PLACE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. WARMER AIR AND
PRECIPITATION WILL SURGE RAPIDLY NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE STORM
SYSTEM TONIGHT. WITH BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES AT GROUND LEVEL
AND WARM AIR RUNNING OVER TOP OF THIS AIR MASS...FREEZING RAIN
AND POCKETS OF SLEET WILL BREAK OUT ACROSS NORTHEAST KANSAS AND
ADJACENT NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI DURING THE PRE-DAWN
HOURS OF SATURDAY MORNING. SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE
LIKELY ACROSS NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND EXTREME NORTHEAST KANSAS
SATURDAY MORNING...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY ICY CONDITIONS
SPREADING EASTWARD ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI
DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON SATURDAY. AREAS NORTH OF A ST JOSEPH
TO MACON LINE WILL LIKELY BEAR THE BRUNT OF THIS STORM SYSTEM.

KSZ103>105-MOZ028-029-037-302030-
/O.CON.KEAX.ZR.Y.0002.071201T0900Z-071201T1500Z/
LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-PLATTE-CLAY-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...
OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...
LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE
619 AM CST FRI NOV 30 2007

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CST
SATURDAY...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CST
SATURDAY.

ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE GREATER KANSAS CITY AREA STARTING DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS
OF SATURDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM ABOVE THE
FREEZING MARK BY MID MORNING WITH THE FREEZING RAIN CHANGING OVER
TO RAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB INTO THE 40S BY
AFTERNOON AND MELT ANY ICE THAT REMAINS.

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$


I'm busy this morning, I'll update the blog this afternoon.
Andrew


Thursday, November 29, 2007

Weekend storm update

GFS 00z, click to enlarge

Good Evening,
There are Winter Storm Watches for Northern Missouri and Northwest Kansas from Friday night until Saturday Night. It appears we will all see rain. :( Saturday Morning there could be some Freezing Rain, but a warm front will surge north allowing it to change all over to rain. For Snow Lovers (including myself) this is sad and frustrating. Maybe tomorrow the models will start changing their story with something we like. There is still a small chance that the storm track could shift to the south,which would mean snow. But is is not looking good!! Will the Arctic Air get it's act together? Will the Storm Track Shift? These are questions that remain to be answered. To see pictures from my Florida trip just look below at the last blog entry.**
Andrew
** I am a Jurassic Park Fan!**

Trip pics!

Good Afternoon,

I'll will update the blog when the new data rolls in, and talk about this weekends’ storm. But for now here are a few pictures from my Florida trip!! I'll try to get more, as I have 3-4 CD ROM's full of photos from the beach, theme parks, etc. Click any of them to enlarge them.
Above: My Dad with the Universal Studios "World" behind him
Below: My Dad pretending to get shocked by a electric fence

Below: Me standing in front of the Jurassic Park car, with the Spino behind it.

Wednesday, November 28, 2007

Weekend storm?

Good Wednesday Morning,

I had a great vacation to Florida last week, now I'm back and am hoping for some snow this weekend!! I'll post pictures later this afternoon. I will update Weather Cast PLUS Tomorrow, As soon as I get out of vacation mode. Later this afternoon, I will have more on that possible weekend storm. Hope everybody had a great Thanksgiving. If you have any photos from last week of our first snowflakes email them to me at stafandt@earthlink.net or kcweather@tornadochaser.every1.net Hope you like the NEW Link Section on the right side of the blog. If you have any links you want me to add, just email me at one of the above email addresses.

Have a Great Day!

Andrew

 
 
 

Thursday, November 15, 2007

First chance of Snow?

Good Morning,
 
New data continues to show a storm system and colder air coming in for next week. Could we see our first 1"+ of snow? maybe. I update this blog this afternoon. I'm planning to update Weather Cast PLUS today also. I am leaving tomorrow night to go to Florida for the week. The winds will die down from 15-20 mph to 5-10mph this afternoon.
 
Have a Great Thursday!
Andrew

Tuesday, November 13, 2007

HIGH FIRE DANGER Watch

Good Evening,
Below is from the National Weather Service about a High Fire Danger Watch for Tomorrow. Please read!! I'll have more tomorrow on this Cold Front as it will push through around 1-2am. Andrew
FIRE WEATHER WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 328 PM CST TUE NOV 13 2007
...HIGH FIRE DANGER EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY...
.A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...
FOLLOWED BY A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS AND INCREASING SURFACE WINDS.
BECAUSE COLD AIR WILL LAG BEHIND THE FRONT...
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO AROUND 60 DEGREES WHILE DEWPOINTS PLUMMET THROUGH THE 20S.
THIS WILL YIELD RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING TO OR BELOW 25 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
LASTLY...MUCH OF THE AREA HAS FAILED TO SEE MEASURABLE RAINFALL OVER THE PAST THREE WEEKS...
WITH 10 HOUR FUEL STICK MOISTURES NOW DROPPING BELOW 7 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
THESE VARIABLES WILL COMBINED TO PRODUCE HIGH FIRE DANGER ON WEDNESDAY.
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>024-028>031-037-038- 043-140530-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FW.A.0001.071114T1600Z-071115T0000Z/
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-
GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-C
ALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY- CARROLL-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-CASS- 328 PM CST TUE NOV 13 2007
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY EVENING.
THE COMBINATION OF A VERY DRY AIRMASS AND STRONG WIND GUSTS ON WEDNESDAY WILL LEAD TO HIGH FIRE DANGER
ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN MISSOURI...AS WELL AS ADJACENT EASTERN KANSAS...ON WEDNESDAY.
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR.
LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.
$$ BOOKBINDER


Monday, November 12, 2007

Big Bust

Click to enlarge image below
Good morning,

Take a look at the Surface map from around 10:06am this morning. You can see that the very weak cold front has moved thru the area. The rain chance has now been dropped to a 30%. Rain showers have been developing south of here around Clinton,Mo, scattered rain showers are possible for rest of the day. If we do not see any rain today, this will be the 17th day in a row of no rain!! KCI is now -5.36" for the year. We need about 6.00" of rain to get back up to average. There is a storm showing up for next, I'll blog later this afternoon about this next storm system. I'll be gone from Friday the 16th to Saturday the 24th, because I'm going to Florida for vacation!!! Have a Great Monday! Please tell me if you do get any rain!

Andrew

Sunday, November 11, 2007

A Cold Front heading our way

Click to enlarge (NAM)
Good Sunday Afternoon,

Take a look a the latest NAM, you can see it show the cold front pushing thru between 6-8am on Monday. Rain chances are at a 60% chance. After the front pushes on thru, the High (blue H) will move right on top of us Tuesday Night. This will Allow calm winds and temperatures to drop to around 38. Then Wednesday Night looks to be cold to with a low of 30. With more Canadian Cold front s on their way, we will, see lows, Thursday through Saturday in the mid to upper 20s. Still no sign of our first chance of snow, when do you think our first 1"+ of snow will fall? Vote on our Poll, which is on the right side. Hope you like both the blogs and KC Weather web site's new look!!

Andrew

Saturday, November 10, 2007

Cloudy and a Chance of Rain

The clouds are in for the night and your Sunday. Dewpoints are going up, as a warm front starts moving through the area tonight, with this front there is a 20% chance of rain Sunday morning. We will warm up in the 70s tomorrow!! A 60% chance rain Sunday Night into Monday as Cold Front moves through the area. Tuesday Highs will only be in the mid to upper 40s, Tuesday night, lows will drop to around 33-34 degrees. Still no sign of a snow storm yet.
Have a great Sunday! Go Chiefs!! I update the blog around 9pm-9:30pm tonight!
 
Andrew
 
 
 

Wednesday, November 7, 2007

Weather Cast PLUS is updated

Good Wednesday Morning,
 
You can see the updated Weather Cast Plus video down below at Weather Cast PLUS 24/7 TV .
I'll update this blog later in the afternoon. Stay warm!!
 
Andrew
 
 

Tuesday, November 6, 2007

It's Peak Colors!

Good Morning,
 
It is freezing out there,which is good for the Fall colors. Send in your Fall Foilage Pictures to me, and I will put them on Weather Cast Plus!!! Email me the pictures at kcweather@tornadochaser.every1.net or at stafandt@earthlink.net !! Tonight will be another Cold Night with Lows in the 20s.
 
Have a Great Day!
Andrew